Interval Identification of Thermal Parameters Using Trigonometric Series Surrogate Model and Unbiased Estimation Method

Abstract

Metal-foam materials have been applied in many engineering fields in virtue of its high specific strength and desirable of thermodynamic properties. However, due to the inherent uncertainty of its attribute parameters, reliable analysis results are often ambiguous to obtain accurately. To overcome this drawback, this paper proposes a novel interval parameter identification method. Firstly, a novel modelling methodology is proposed to simulate the geometry of engineering metal foams. Subsequently, the concept of intervals is introduced to represent the uncertainty relationship between variables and responses in heat transfer systems. To improve computational efficiency, a novel augmented trigonometric series surrogate model is constructed. Moreover, unbiased estimation methods based on different probability distributions are presented to describe system measurement intervals. Then, a multi-level optimization-based identification strategy is proposed to seek the parameter interval efficiently. Eventually, an engineering heat transfer system is given to verify the feasibility of the proposed parameter identification method. This method can rapidly identify the unknown parameters of the system. The identification results demonstrate that this interval parameter identification method can quantify the uncertainty of a metal-foam structure in engineering heat transfer systems efficiently, especially for the actual case without sufficient measurements.