The Research on the Interactions between the Emerging and Developed Markets: From Region and Structural Break Perspectives

Abstract

This study utilizes a bivariate BEKK-EGARCH model with the setting of a structural break to investigate whether the interactions between stock indices in emerging and developed markets are different in terms of region, emerging stock indices, and subperiod. Then, this study investigated how the results of interactions vary with geographical location, emerging stock indices, and subperiod. Empirical results show that the interactions between emerging and developed markets indeed vary with geographical location and emerging stock indices, but are almost the same in the two subperiods. For example, for the paired stock indices in ‘Asia-America’ and ‘Asia-Europe’, or related to ‘XU100’, ‘SSE’ and ‘BSE’, the developed market mainly spills into the emerging market in terms of return and volatility. The findings from these empirical results can help investors and fund managers undertake different investment strategies in different regions and subperiods, and make effective investments.