Prediction Method for Power Transformer Running State Based on LSTM_DBN Network

Abstract

It is of great significance to accurately get the running state of power transformers and timely detect the existence of potential transformer faults. This paper presents a prediction method of transformer running state based on LSTM_DBN network. Firstly, based on the trend of gas concentration in transformer oil, a long short-term memory (LSTM) model is established to predict the future characteristic gas concentration. Then, the accuracy and influencing factors of the LSTM model are analyzed with examples. The deep belief network (DBN) model is used to establish the transformer operation using the information in the transformer fault case library. The accuracy of state classification is higher than the support vector machine (SVM) and back-propagation neural network (BPNN). Finally, combined with the actual transformer data collected from the State Grid Corporation of China, the LSTM_DBN model is used to predict the transformer state. The results show that the method has higher prediction accuracy and can analyze potential faults.