Long-Term Effects of Fire Severity and Climatic Factors on Post-Forest-Fire Vegetation Recovery

Abstract

As a major disturbance to forest ecosystems, wildfires pose a serious threat to the ecological environment. Monitoring post-fire vegetation recovery is critical to quantifying the effects of wildfire on ecosystems and conducting forest resource management. Most previous studies have analyzed short-term (less than five years) post-fire recovery and limited the driving factors to temperature and precipitation. The lack of long-term and multi-faceted observational analyses has limited our understanding of the long-term effects of fire on vegetation recovery. This study utilized multi-source remote sensing data for a long time series analysis of post-fire vegetation recovery in China based on Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud computing platform. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR), and Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI) were selected to quantify the low, moderate, and high severity of burned areas. Ridge Regression Model (RRM) was used to analyze the relationship between 15 driving factors and the vegetation regeneration process. The results show that it took at least 7–10 years for the vegetation index to recover to the pre-fire level after a forest fire. The recovery rate of high severity combustion areas was the fastest within the first two years. From the results of Ridge Regression, it came out that the overall fitting degree of the model with NDVI as the dependent variable was superior than that with EVI. The four variables of temperature, precipitation, soil temperature, and soil moisture were able to explain the change in more detail in vegetation indices. Our study enriches the research cases of global forest fires and vegetation recovery, provides a scientific basis for the sustainable development of forest ecosystems in China, and provides insight into environmental issues and resource management.