The Impact of Hospital Transfers on Surgical Delay and Associated Postoperative Outcomes for Hip Fracture Patients in Scotland: A Cohort Study

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Hip fractures exert a substantial burden on hospital systems. Within Scotland 20% of the population resides rurally, warranting investigation of how this impacts prompt access to surgical care. This study aims to determine whether indirect hospital admission via hospital transfer affects the likelihood of surgical management within 36 h for hip fracture patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed. This used Scottish Hip Fracture Audit data including patients aged ≥50 split into two propensity matched groups based on their transfer status. Descriptive analysis compared patient characteristics. Regression assessed achieving surgery within 36 h of admission in the unmatched and matched cohorts. Secondary outcomes included time to surgery, mortality, mobilization, returning to residence and length of stay. A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to assess for residual confounding effects. Results: The unmatched analysis included 20,132 patients. Transfer patients were younger (p = 0.007) and less-comorbid (p < 0.001). In the matched population, 711 (63.6%) transfer patients had surgery with 36 h of presentation to hospital, compared to 852 (75.3%) non-transfer patients. Transfer patients had 43% reduced odds of timely surgery (OR (95% CI) 0.57 (0.48 to 0.69); p < 0.001). No disparities emerged in mortality, mobilisation or returning to residence., Transfer patients experienced a significant increase in length of stay in hospital (median (IQR) 16 (8 to 33) vs. 13 (8 to 30); p = 0.024). Conclusions: Hospital transfer is associated with significantly reduced odds of timely surgery, a longer time to surgery and longer length of stay. Development of structured network pathways that minimize delay to transfer are required to potentially optimize outcomes and reduce associated cost.