Analysis of Carrying Capacity and Obstacle Factors of Water Resources in Longnan City, China, Based on Driving–Pressure–State–Response and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution Models

Abstract

Measuring the carrying capacity of water resources and identifying obstacle factors are critical prerequisites for the rational allocation of regional water resources and the high-quality development of economic society. This study took Longnan City, a typical city in northwest China with abundant water resources but an underdeveloped economy, as the research object. Based on the DPSR (Driving–Pressure–State–Response), an evaluation indicator system was constructed. TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) and an obstacle model were used to calculate the water resource carrying capacity and main obstacle factors of Longnan City from 2009 to 2019. The results showed that the carrying capacity of water resources in Longnan City had steadily improved, and the comprehensive closeness had increased from 0.44 (2009) to 0.60 (2019). From the perspective of the ruler layer, the carrying capacity of the driving force system increased from 0.05 in 2009 to 1.00 in 2019. The capacity of the state system increased during the change, with the highest value (0.85) appearing in 2013 and the lowest value appearing in 2016. All subsystems, except the pressure system, had a load-carrying capacity of 0.60 or more in 2019. The utilization of unconventional water resources, the proportion of eco-environmental water use, the volume of wastewater discharge, and the per capita urban daily water consumption are the primary factors affecting the water resource carrying capacity of Longnan City. Developing unconventional water sources, improving sewage treatment technology, promoting efficient water-saving technology, and strengthening environmental protection is the key to improving the water resources carrying capacity of Longnan City. This research provides the basis for enhancing the carrying capacity of water resources and sustainable urban development in Longnan City and other cities in China and water scarcity cities in other countries.