The Impact of Turkish Economic News on the Fractality of Borsa Istanbul: A Multidisciplinary Approach

Author:

Balcı Mehmet Ali1ORCID,Akgüller Ömer1ORCID,Batrancea Larissa M.2ORCID,Nichita Anca3

Affiliation:

1. Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics, Muğla SıtkıKoçman University, Muğla 48000, Turkey

2. Department of Business, Babeş-Bolyai University, 400174 Cluj-Napoca, Romania

3. Faculty of Economics, “1 Decembrie 1918” University of Alba Iulia, 510009 Alba Iulia, Romania

Abstract

This study explores the connection between the fractal dimensions of time series representing sentiments regarding economic news and the fractal dimensions of correlation networks among companies listed in the Borsa Istanbul star section. While there have been many studies on the correlation between different time series, the investigation into the impact of fractal dimensions on correlation networks’ dynamics has been somewhat restricted. This study investigates the correlation networks among companies listed in the Borsa Istanbul Stars segment, employing distance and topological filters. The network fractional dimensions are evaluated using the box counting and information dimension techniques. A convolutional neural network is employed to perform analysis of sentiments regarding on 2020 Turkish economic news. The network is trained on user comments and specifically built to identify fluctuations in news editorials. The Zemberek natural language processing framework is beneficial for data preprocessing. Identical analytical methods are employed to quantify the fractal dimensions of each sentiment time series. Experiments are performed on these measurements using various sliding window widths to ascertain both independence and causality. The findings indicate a substantial correlation between market behavior and the feelings expressed in economic news.

Funder

Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Statistics and Probability,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics,Analysis

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