Health-Aware Economic MPC for Operational Management of Flow-Based Networks Using Bayesian Networks

Abstract

This paper presents a health-aware economic Model Predictive Control (EMPC) approach for the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) of generalized flow-based networks. The proposed approach consists of the integration of the network reliability model obtained from a Bayesian network in the control model. The controller is then able to optimally manage the supply taking into consideration the distribution of the control effort, to extend the life of the actuators by delaying the network reliability decay as much as possible. It also considers an optimal inventory replenishment policy based on a desired risk acceptability level, leading to the availability of safety stocks for unexpected excess demand in networks. The proposed implementation is illustrated with a real case study corresponding to an aggregate model of the Drinking Water transport Network (DWN) of Barcelona.