Theoretical and Observational Constraints on Lunar Orbital Evolution in the Three-Body Earth-Moon-Sun System

Abstract

Extremely slow recession of the Moon from the Earth has been recently proposed and attributed to conversion of Earth’s axial spin to lunar orbital momentum. This hypothesis is inconsistent with long-standing recognition that the Moon’s orbit involves three-body interactions. This and other short-comings, such as Earth’s spin loss being internal, are summarized here. Considering point-masses is justified by theory and observational data on other moons. We deduce that torque in the Earth-Moon-Sun system increases eccentricity of the lunar orbit but decreases its inclination over time. Consequently, the average lunar orbital radius is decreasing. We also show that lunar drift is too small to be constrained through lunar laser ranging measurements, mainly because atmospheric refraction corrections are comparatively large and variations in lunar cycles are under-sampled. Our findings support co-accretion and explain how orbits evolve in many-body point-mass systems.