Emergency Department Mean Physician Time per Patient and Workload Predictors ED-MPTPP

Abstract

One key element for emergency department (ED) staff calculation is the mean physician time per patient (MPTPP) and its influencing factors. The aims of this study were measuring the MPTPP, identifying factors with significant influence on the MPTPP, and developing a model to predict the MPTPP. This study was a prospective trial conducted at the ED of a university hospital in Germany. The MPTPP was measured with a specifically developed app. The influence of different factors on MPTPP were first tested in univariate analysis. Then, all significant factors were used in a multivariant regression model to minimize collinearities and to develop a prediction model. In total, 202 patients treated by 32 different physicians were observed within one year. The MPTPP was 47 min (standard deviation: 34 min). Relevant factors influencing the MPTPP were treatment area, Emergency Severity Index (ESI) triage level, guiding symptom category, and physician level (all p < 0.001). This model predicted 45% of the variance in the MPTPP (p < 0.001), which corresponds to a large effect size. We developed an effective prediction model for ED MPTPP, resulting in an MPTPP of 47 min. Future studies are needed to validate our model, which could serve as a benchmark for other EDs where the MPTPP is not available.