Aboveground Biomass Estimation and Time Series Analyses in Mongolian Grasslands Utilizing PlanetScope Imagery

Abstract

Mongolia, situated in central Asia and bordered by Russia to the north and China to the south, experiences a semi-arid climate across most of its territory. Grasslands are pivotal in Mongolia’s agricultural sustainability and food security, facing rapid changes in the last two decades that underscore the ongoing need for innovative approaches to assess vegetation conditions. This study aims to evaluate grassland biomass measurement and prediction through the analysis of high-resolution satellite data. By conducting a time series assessment of grazing-induced changes in vegetation dynamics at the long-term monitoring sites of the Botanic Garden and Research Institute, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, we seek to refine our understanding. The investigation covers biomass estimation across various Mongolian grassland landscapes, encompassing desert, steppe, and mountain regions. Spanning the grassland growing season from May 2020 to October 2023, the research leveraged diverse ground data types, including surface reflectance measurements, geographic coordinates for satellite data correction, and aboveground dry biomass. These components were instrumental in developing a biomass estimation model reliant on establishing correlations between the satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and biomass. The predicted biomass facilitated the time series map analysis and dynamic analysis. The PlanetScope surface reflectance correlates strongly at 0.97 with field measurements, indicating robust relations. Biomass and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index show correlations of 0.82 for dry grassland, 0.80 for mountain grassland, and 0.65 for desert grassland, with a combined correlation coefficient of 0.62, revealing distinct characteristics across these grasslands. Time series dynamic analysis reveals rising biomass differences between grazed and ungrazed areas, suggesting potential grassland degradation. Variations in the slope coefficient of biomass differences among grassland types indicate differing degradation patterns, emphasizing the need for effective grazing management practices to sustain and conserve Mongolian grasslands. This highlights the potential of remote sensing in monitoring and managing grassland ecosystems.