Influence of the Effective Reproduction Number on the SIR Model with a Dynamic Transmission Rate

Author:

Córdova-Lepe Fernando1,Gutiérrez-Jara Juan Pablo2ORCID,Chowell Gerardo34ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad Católica del Maule, Avenida San Miguel 3605, Talca 3480112, Chile

2. Centro de Investigación de Estudios Avanzados del Maule (CIEAM), Vicerrectoría de Investigación y Postgrado, Universidad Católica del Maule, Talca 3480112, Chile

3. School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30302, USA

4. Department of Applied Mathematics, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 17104, Republic of Korea

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the epidemiological model B-SIR, focusing on the dynamic law that governs the transmission rate B. We define this dynamic law by the differential equation B′/B=F⊕−F⊖, where F⊖ represents a reaction factor reflecting the stress proportional to the active group’s percentage variation. Conversely, F⊕ is a factor proportional to the deviation of B from its intrinsic value. We introduce the notion of contagion impulse f and explore its role within the model. Specifically, for the case where F⊕=0, we derive an autonomous differential system linking the effective reproductive number with f and subsequently analyze its dynamics. This analysis provides new insights into the model’s behavior and its implications for understanding disease transmission.

Funder

Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID) of Chile

Publisher

MDPI AG

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