Assessing the COX-2/PGE2 Ratio and Anti-Nucleosome Autoantibodies as Biomarkers of Autism Spectrum Disorders: Using Combined ROC Curves to Improve Diagnostic Values

Abstract

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition marked by restricted and repetitive behaviors as well as difficulties with social interaction. Numerous studies have revealed aberrant lipid mediators and autoimmunity as a recognized etiological cause of ASD that is amenable to therapeutic intervention. In this study, the relationship between the relative cyclooxygenase-2/prostaglandin E2 ratio (COX-2/PGE2) as a lipid mediator marker and anti-nucleosome autoantibodies as an autoimmunity marker of ASD was investigated using multiple regression and combined receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The study also sought to identify the linear combination of these variables that optimizes the partial area under the ROC curves. There were forty ASD children and forty-two age- and gender-matched controls included in the current study. Using combined ROC curve analysis, a notable increase in the area under the curve was seen in the patient group, using the control group as a reference group. Additionally, it was reported that the combined markers had improved specificity and sensitivity. This study demonstrates how the predictive value of particular biomarkers associated with lipid metabolism and autoimmunity in children with ASD can be measured using a ROC curve analysis. This technique should help us better understand the etiological mechanism of ASD and how it may adversely affect cellular homeostasis, which is essential to maintaining healthy metabolic pathways. Early diagnosis and intervention may be facilitated by this knowledge.