Mathematical Modeling for Predicting Growth and Yield of Halophyte Hedysarum scoparium in Arid Regions under Variable Irrigation and Soil Amendment Conditions

Abstract

Growing degree days (GDDs) and leaf area index (LAI) greatly influence the growth and yield of many crops grown in arid regions. Therefore, variation in LAI due to GDD can provide a theoretical basis for predicting crop growth, water consumption, plant development, and yield in arid agriculture via the development of mathematical growth models. This study described the relationship between plant biomass production and variation in LAI due to GDD in arid regions under different types of irrigation (fresh water and saline water) and soils amended with different substances (manure+sandy soil, compost+sandy soil, clay+sandy soil, and sandy soil). Mathematical models for LAI were established for GDDs. In addition, different water quality irrigation techniques were used as independent variables to calculate the LAI of halophytic plants (Hedysarum scoparium) in arid regions under different soil amendment treatments. Furthermore, mathematical models for plant biomass production were developed by using the LAI and GDDs. For this purpose, Logistic, Gaussian, modified Gaussian, and Cubic polynomial models were used. Modified Gaussian and Cubic polynomial models are the best among all developed models, but Cubic polynomial models are more suitable among all developed models because of their simple quadratic equations that can be solved by using the first derivative. It was observed that with increased salt concentration in the irrigation water, the growth of per plant production decreased. However, soil amendments like manure and compost enhance salt tolerance against salt stress and enable plants to sustain their growth. Furthermore, Hedysarum scoparium attains maximum LAI when its GDD is about 1117.5 °C under both irrigation regimes and in all soil amendment treatments. It was concluded that these predicted mathematical models can provide crucial insights for enhancing production in arid regions by using eco-friendly soil amendments to improve water use efficiency across diverse types of water irrigation.