Abstract
Decision making in natural resource management must deal with uncertainty. This can be very challenging when there is high uncertainty in the system being managed, particularly when participatory processes are used that potentially involve a wide range of stakeholders with competing interests and values, and where technical resources are limited. In the first phase of the research, a formal review of how uncertainty was managed in a collaborative and community-centred policy process to set water quality and water quantity limits in the Selwyn Waihora catchment in New Zealand. Three recommendations for improvement were identified: (i) increase the transparency of the nature and level of uncertainty considered, (ii) expand the types or sources of uncertainty considered, and (iii) apply a systemic and systematic approach to identifying and prioritising uncertainties. In the second phase, this led to the development of a five-stage conceptual framework incorporating a number of steps and tools designed to facilitate understanding, communicating, and managing uncertainty. The framework was tested and refined using the data from the original Selwyn Waihora policy process. This paper describes our framework, which was found to support understanding, managing, and communicating uncertainty in collaborative processes tasked with developing new environmental policy, despite time and resource constraints.
Funder
the New Zealand Government's Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment Strategic Science Investment Fund
Subject
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Geography, Planning and Development
Reference47 articles.
1. Focus on Citizens
2. Uncertainty and Risk. Multidisciplinary Perspectives;Bammer,2008
3. Disciplining Interdisciplinary: Integration and Implementation Sciences for Researching Complex Real-World Problems
4. Science for the post-normal age
5. Creating Adaptive Policies: A Guide for Policy-Making in an Uncertain World;Swanson,2009
Cited by
2 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献
1. Some Aspects of the Synthesis of Automated Singularly Perturbed Control Systems;2023 Systems of Signals Generating and Processing in the Field of on Board Communications;2023-03-14
2. Implementation of Adaptive Control with Parametric Uncertainty;2022 Intelligent Technologies and Electronic Devices in Vehicle and Road Transport Complex (TIRVED);2022-11-10