Study of the Multilevel Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Rock Burst Risk

Abstract

Rock burst is a multifaceted phenomenon that involves various intricate factors. A precise evaluation of its risk encounters numerous challenges. To address this issue, the present paper proposed a multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process–Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (AHP-FCE) method. Three primary influencing factors and twelve secondary influencing factors that impact the rock burst risk were identified. The mechanisms by which each influencing factor affects the rock burst were analyzed and the membership degree for each factor was calculated accordingly. The weight of each influencing factor was determined through the AHP. To obtain a quantitative evaluation result, the evaluation model was calculated using the second-order fuzzy mathematics calculation method. The application of the model was demonstrated on the 310 working face of the Tingnan Coal Mine, and the evaluation results were consistent with those achieved through the use of the comprehensive index method and the probability index method. All of the results exhibited consistent alignment with the actual circumstances. The verification process confirmed the scientific, effective, and practical nature of the model.