Integrated Waterflooding Effect Evaluation Methodology for Carbonate Fractured–Vuggy Reservoirs Based on the Unascertained Measure–Mahalanobis Distance Theory

Abstract

The waterflooding effect evaluation of carbonate fractured–vuggy reservoirs constitutes a comprehensive multiple-information decision-making process involving quantitative unascertained measure theory. This paper establishes a novel comprehensive methodology to evaluate the waterflooding effects of carbonate fractured–vuggy reservoirs for the first time. A new evaluation grading criteria is proposed using the Mahalanobis distance method based on the multi-index comprehensive unascertained measure theory derived from a modified five-scale analytical hierarchy process–entropy weight method. The actual field data from the carbonate fractured–vuggy reservoirs and the nine evaluation indices are specifically applied to demonstrate the calculation process for the construction of the grading system model on the waterflooding effects and to verify the accuracy of the Mahalanobis distance method by comparing the calculation results with the Minkowski and Euclidean distance methods. The proposed methodology facilitates the effective evaluation of the waterflooding strategies implemented in carbonate fractured–vuggy reservoirs with three categories; the ones with outstanding performance usually demonstrated favorable index characteristics, with substantial contributions to the enhanced oil recovery, manifesting with complete well patterns, a balance in the injection–production dynamics, excellent waterflooding utilization, and control competence. In contrast, fractured–vuggy units with fair waterflooding performance revealed limitations in the enhanced oil recovery. It can also be inferred that the mediocre waterflooding performance of the fractured–vuggy units is associated with incomplete well patterns, an imbalance in the injection–production dynamics, low waterflooding utilization, and a negligible waterflooding effect. The results in this study show that this newly proposed integrated model can effectively assess the waterflooding effects quantitatively and provide a more precise scientific basis for evaluating the waterflooding effects in carbonate fractured–vuggy reservoirs, with potential applicability in other fields.