Mortality and COVID Infection: Predictors of Mortality 10 Months after Discharge

Abstract

Background: The long-term survival of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and the factors associated with poorer survival months after infection are not well understood. The aims of the present study were to analyze the overall mortality 10 months after admission. Methods: 762 patients with COVID-19 disease were included. Patients underwent a complete clinical evaluation, routine laboratory analysis and chest X-ray. Data collected included demographic and clinical data, such as vascular risk factors, tobacco or alcohol use, comorbidity, and institutionalization. Results: Ten-month mortality was 25.6%: 108 deaths occurred in-hospital, while 87 patients died after discharge. In-hospital mortality was independently related to NT-proBNP values > 503.5 pg/mL [OR = 4.67 (2.38–9.20)], urea > 37 mg/dL [3.21 (1.86–7.31)] and age older than 71 years [OR = 1.93 (1.05–3.54)]. NT-proBNP values > 503.5 pg/mL [OR = 5.00 (3.06–8.19)], urea > 37 mg/dL [3.51 (1.97–6.27)], cognitive impairment [OR = 1.96 (1.30–2.95), cancer [OR = 2.23 (1.36–3.68), and leukocytes > 6330/mm3 [OR = 1.64 (1.08–2.50)], were independently associated with long-term mortality. Conclusions: the risk of death remains high even months after COVID-19 infection. Overall mortality of COVID-19 patients during 10 months after hospital discharge is nearly as high as that observed during hospital admission. Comorbidities such as cancer or cognitive impairment, organ dysfunction and inflammatory reaction are independent prognostic markers of long-term mortality.