Vegetation Greening and Its Response to a Warmer and Wetter Climate in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2020

Abstract

Vegetation greening is time-dependent and region-specific. The uncertainty of vegetation greening under global warming has been highlighted. Thus, it is crucial to investigate vegetation greening and its response to climate change at the regional scale. The Yellow River Basin (YRB) is a vital ecological barrier in China with high ecological vulnerability and climatic sensitivity. The relationship between vegetation greening and climate change in the YRB and the relative contribution of climate change remain to be explored. Using the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and meteorological observation data, the spatiotemporal patterns of vegetation greening across the YRB in response to climate change at the basin and vegetation sub-regional scales from 2000 to 2020 were analyzed. The impact of human activities on regional greening was further quantified. Results showed that approximately 92% of the basin had experienced greening, at average annual and growing season rates of 0.0024 and 0.0034 year–1, respectively. Greening was particularly prominent in the central and eastern YRB. Browning was more prevalent in urban areas with a high intensity of human activities, occupying less than 6.3% of the total basin, but this proportion increased significantly at seasonal scales, especially in spring. Regional greening was positively correlated with the overall warmer and wetter climate, and the partial correlation coefficients between EVI and precipitation were higher than those between EVI and temperature. However, this response varied among different seasonal scales and vegetation sub-regions. The combined effects of climate change and human activities were conducive to vegetation greening in 84.5% of the YRB during the growing season, while human activities had a stronger impact than climate change. The relative contributions of human activities to greening and browning were 65.15% and 70.30%, respectively, mainly due to the promotion of ecological rehabilitation programs and the inhibition of urbanization and construction projects.