Abstract
The current satellite network traffic forecasting methods cannot fully exploit the long correlation between satellite traffic sequences, which leads to large network traffic forecasting errors and low forecasting accuracy. To solve these problems, we propose a satellite network traffic forecasting method with an improved gate recurrent unit (GRU). This method combines the attention mechanism with GRU neural network, fully mines the characteristics of self-similarity and long correlation among traffic data sequences, pays attention to the importance of traffic data and hidden state, learns the time-dependent characteristics of input sequences, and mines the interdependent characteristics of data sequences to improve the prediction accuracy. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to obtain the best network model Hyperparameter and improve the prediction efficiency. Simulation results show that the proposed method has the best fitting effect with real traffic data, and the errors are reduced by 26.9%, 37.2%, and 57.8% compared with the GRU, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Fractional Autoregressive Integration Moving Average (FARIMA) models, respectively.
Subject
Electrical and Electronic Engineering,Biochemistry,Instrumentation,Atomic and Molecular Physics, and Optics,Analytical Chemistry
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