Probabilistic Generalization of a Comprehensive Model for the Deterioration Prediction of RC Structure under Extreme Corrosion Environments

Abstract

In some extreme corrosion environments, the erosion of chloride ions and carbon dioxide can occur simultaneously, causing deterioration of reinforced concrete (RC) structures. This study presents a probabilistic model for the sustainability prediction of the service life of RC structures, taking into account that combined deterioration. Because of the high computational cost, we also present a series of simplifications to improve the model. Meanwhile, a semi-empirical method is also developed for this combined effect. By probabilistic generalization, this simplified method can swiftly handle the original reliability analysis which needs to be based on large amounts of data. A comparison of results obtained by the models with and without the above simplifications supports the significance of these improvements.