Intelligent Agents and Causal Inference: Enhancing Decision-Making through Causal Reasoning

Abstract

This study examines the incorporation of causal inference methods into intelligent entities and examines the benefits of utilizing causal reasoning to improve decision-making procedures. This study entails conducting an experimental evaluation within a video game setting to evaluate the performance of three separate agent types: ExplorerBOT, GuardBOT, and CausalBOT. The ExplorerBOT utilizes a stochastic path selection technique for task completion, whereas the GuardBOT remains immobile yet exhibits exceptional proficiency in identifying and neutralizing other bots. On the other hand, the CausalBOT utilizes sophisticated causal inference methods to examine the underlying factors contributing to the failures noticed in the task completion of the ExplorerBOT. The aforementioned feature allows CausalBOT to make informed decisions by selecting paths that have a greater likelihood of achieving success. The main purpose of these experiments is to assess and compare the effectiveness of two distinct bots, namely ExplorerBOT and CausalBOT, in accomplishing their respective objectives. To facilitate comparison, two iterations of the ExplorerBOT are utilized. The initial iteration is predicated exclusively on stochastic path selection and necessitates a more profound understanding of the variables that impact the achievement of tasks. On the other hand, the second version integrates an algorithm for informed search. In contrast, CausalBOT employs causal inference techniques to discover the underlying causes of failures exhibited by ExplorerBOTs and collect pertinent data. Through the process of discerning the fundamental causal mechanisms, CausalBOT is able to make well-informed decisions by selecting pathways that maximize the probability of successfully completing a given job. The utilization of this approach greatly boosts the decision-making powers of CausalBOT, hence enabling it to effectively adapt and overcome problems in a more efficient manner when compared to alternative agents.