An Accurate Maritime Radio Propagation Loss Prediction Approach Employing Neural Networks

Abstract

The radio propagation loss prediction model is essential for maritime communication. The oceanic tropospheric duct is much more complicated than the atmospheric structure on land due to the rough sea surface influence, and it leads to difficulties in loss prediction. Classical radio wave propagation loss prediction models are either based on complicated electromagnetic wave theories or rely on empirical data. Consequently, they suffer from low accuracy and a limited range of application. To address this issue, a novel maritime propagation loss prediction approach is proposed, which fully exploits the data for training. In this new approach, 3D sea surface contour profiles are generated based on the Pierson–Moskowitz spectrum theory and the direction expansion formula Stereo Wave Observation Program (SWOP), by sweeping the parameters. The full-wave propagation procedure of radio signals over the sea surface is simulated by commercial EM analysis software CST Studio Suite. Based on the large quantity of simulated data, the BP neural network is employed to fit the radio propagation loss and obtain the sea surface radio wave propagation prediction model. Other classical machine learning methods are also compared to validate the proposed approach. Traditional empirical model construction relies on observation data. This approach, for the first time, proposed an automatic scheme which covers the whole procedure from the data generation to prediction model training. It avoids the requirements for on-site observation, as well as significantly decreases the cost of experiments. The application scope of the prediction model such as propagation distance range and working frequency range could be adaptive through adjustments for simulated sea size and simulated working frequency. This approach is validated to save 99% of prediction time in comparison with the full-wave simulations. The prediction model trained via our proposed method could obtain the coefficient of determination R2 which is over 0.92, demonstrating the superiority of this method.