Spatial Patterns of Errors in GPM IMERG Summer Precipitation Estimates and Their Connections to Geographical Features in Complex Topographical Area

Abstract

Error evaluation is essential for the improvement and application of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) Version 06 daily precipitation estimates, including early-, late-, and final-run products (IMERG-DE, IMERG-DL, and IMERG-DF, respectively), especially for summer precipitation in complex topographical areas. However, many existing works mainly focus on comparing the error statistical metrics of precipitation estimates, but few further analyze the internal relationships between these error statistics and geographical features. Therefore, taking Sichuan Province of China as a case study of the complex topographic and mountainous area, we adopt statistical metrics, error decomposition schemes, systematic and random error separation models, and regression methods to analyze the relationships between the spatial distribution of IMERG summer precipitation error metrics and geographical features. These features include longitude, latitude, distance from Sichuan Basin edge (DFBE), digital elevation model (DEM), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), slope, aspect, and topographic position index (TPI). The results show that: (1) DEM and DFBE are the two most important geographical features affecting the spatial distribution of error metrics, while both aspect and TPI have negligible effects on these metrics; (2) the variations in DEM, DFBE, and latitude have the negative relationships with error metrics; (3) longitude and DFBE do not have a direct impact on the errors, but indirectly affect the precipitation errors through the changing DEM; (4) slope shows a strong negative correlation with hit bias, and its increase significantly amplifies the sensitivity of systematic errors of hit bias from IMERG-DE and DL; and (5) the high detection probability and small missed precipitation error of the three IMERG estimates are virtually unaffected by changes in geographical features.