Prediction and Diagnosis of Electric Vehicle Battery Fault Based on Abnormal Voltage: Using Decision Tree Algorithm Theories and Isolated Forest

Abstract

Battery voltage is a pivotal parameter for evaluating battery health and safety. The precise prediction of battery voltage and the implementation of anomaly detection are imperative for ensuring the secure and dependable operation of battery systems. Nevertheless, during the actual operation of electric vehicles, battery performance is subject to the influence of the vehicle's operational state and battery characteristic parameters, introducing challenges to safety alerts. In order to address these challenges and achieve precise battery voltage prediction, this paper comprehensively considers the battery characteristics and driving behavior of electric vehicles in both charging and operational states. Mathematical processing, including averaging and variance calculation, is applied to the battery characteristic parameter data and driving behavior data. By integrating historical voltage data and employing a modified gradient boosting decision tree algorithm (GBDT), a fast and accurate online voltage prediction method is proposed. Hyperparameter optimization is employed to minimize prediction voltage errors. The accuracy and timeliness of the predictions are validated through a comprehensive evaluation and comparison of the forecasted voltages. To diagnose anomalies in battery voltage, the paper proposes a fault diagnosis method that combines the Isolation Forest and Boxplot techniques. Finally, utilizing authentic electric vehicle data for validation, the research underscores the capability of the proposed method to achieve accurate voltage predictions six minutes in advance and provide effective fault diagnosis. This investigation carries substantial practical implications for fortifying battery management and optimizing the performance of electric vehicles.