Reliability Prediction Method for Low-Cycle Fatigue Life of Compressor Disks Based on the Fusion of Simulation and Zero-Failure Data

Abstract

Targeting reliability assessment problems with a small sample size and large amount of zero-failure data which appear in the life assessment tests of aero-engine compressor disks, a reliability assessment method and simulation test method were developed by fusing numerical simulation and zero-failure data based on the life reliability assessment method for zero-failure data. The developed method was verified by numerical examples, and further applied in the reliability analysis of compressor disks by combining the test and simulation results. The results indicated that fusing the test data with the simulation data increased the amount of information, improved the life prediction accuracy, and increased the lower confidence limit of the reliable life by 6.02% compared with the case where the test data alone were used.