Prediction of Rockburst Propensity Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set—Multisource Combined Weights—Improved Attribute Measurement Model

Abstract

A rockburst is a geological disaster that occurs in resource development or engineering construction. In order to reduce the harm caused by rockburst, this paper proposes a prediction study of rockburst propensity based on the intuitionistic fuzzy set-multisource combined weights-improved attribute measurement model. From the perspective of rock mechanics, the uniaxial compressive strength σc, tensile stress σt, shear stress σθ, compression/tension ratio σc/σt, shear/compression ratio σθ/σc, and elastic deformation coefficient Wet were selected as the indicators for predicting the propensity of rockburst, and the corresponding attribute classification set was established. Constructing a model framework based on an intuitionistic fuzzy set–improved attribute measurement includes transforming the vagueness of rockburst indicators with an intuitionistic fuzzy set and controlling the uncertainty in the results of the attribute measurements, as well as improving the accuracy of the model using the Euclidean distance method to improve the attribute identification method. To further transform the vagueness of rockburst indicators, the multisource system for combined weights of rockburst propensity indicators was constructed using the minimum entropy combined weighting method, the game theory combined weighting method, and the multiplicative synthetic normalization combined weighting method integrated with intuitionistic fuzzy sets, and the single-valued data of the indicators were changed into intervalized data on the basis of subjective weights based on the analytic hierarchy process and objective weights, further based on the coefficient of variation method. Choosing 30 groups of typical rockburst cases, the indicator weights and propensity prediction results were calculated and analyzed through this paper’s model. Firstly, comparing the prediction results of this paper’s model with the results of the other three single-combination weighting models for attribute measurement, the accuracy of the prediction results of this paper’s model is 86.7%, which is higher than that of the other model results that were the least in addition to the number of uncertain cases, indicating that the uncertainty of attribute measurement has been effectively dealt with; secondly, the rationality of the multiple sources system for combined weights is verified, and the vagueness of the indicators is controlled.