Societal Technological Megatrends: A Bibliometric Analysis from 1982 to 2021

Abstract

This article presents a bibliometric analysis of scientific publications investigating technological megatrends at the societal level, through the parallel analysis of 549 documents from Scopus and 291 documents in Web of Science (WoS) using the VOSviewer software and the Excel component of the MS Office 365 package. The main purpose of this study was to obtain an overview of the evolution of the research on the subject of technological megatrends from the perspective of interest, domains, geographical areas, sources, authors and cocitation networks, research clusters of countries, and cluster-related concepts. The results showed that publications on technological megatrends started in 1982, but from a scientific point of view they started in 1983 (Scopus) and 1984 (WoS), and that they display an increasing trend after 2010. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Nature, SAE Technical Papers, VDI Berichte, Harvard Business Review, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, and Sustainability represent the most important sources, and Gibbs, Kraemer, Dedrick, Kim, Chmiela, Sauceda, Müller, Tkatchenko, Pratt, Sarmiento, Montes, Ogilvie, Marcus, Perez, Brownson, D. Mourtzis, M. Doukas, and Bernidaki are the most notorious researchers in the field. At the societal level, technological megatrends are closely related to foresight, globalization, industry 4.0, the internet of things, digitalization, technology, artificial intelligence, innovation, the future, and sustainability. This study is original and useful for researchers in the context of the lack of similar studies on this subject.