How Do the Start Date, End Date, and Frequency of Precipitation Change across China under Warming?

Abstract

Variations in precipitation have a great influence on human society and the natural environment. Existing studies have provided substantial information regarding variations in the magnitude, frequency, and intensity of precipitation. However, little is known about how the start and end dates of precipitation change, which could offer crucial insights for related studies in agriculture, hydrology, and other related disciplines. Here, we present an analysis of variations in the start date, end date, and frequency of different precipitation intensities, using a widely used gauge-satellite-reanalysis-based merging product, during the latest period, 1980–2022, across China. The results show that the spatial–temporal variations in the start date, end date, and frequency of different precipitation intensities were complex among regions. For example, in northeast and northwest China, light precipitation (LP) started earlier and increased in frequency during the study period. In the Tibetan Plateau, precipitation at different intensities levels started earlier, heavy precipitation (HP) and violent precipitation ended earlier, and the frequency of LP and moderate precipitation increased significantly. The start date of HP shifted earlier in Southeast China (−0.28 days/year). Our findings could be helpful in providing a comprehensive understanding of precipitation changes under global warming and highlight the need to pay close attention to these precipitation changes in the future.