Investigating the Inter-Relationships among Multiple Atmospheric Variables and Their Responses to Precipitation

Abstract

In this study, a comprehensive investigation into the inter-relationships among twelve atmospheric variables and their responses to precipitation was conducted. These variables include two Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) tropospheric products, eight weather variables and two time-varying parameters. Their observations and corresponding precipitation record over the period 2008–2019 were obtained from a pair of GNSS/weather stations in Hong Kong. Firstly, based on the correlation and regression analyses, the cross-relationships among the variables were systematically analyzed. Typically, the variables of precipitable water vapor (PWV), zenith total delay (ZTD), temperature, pressure, wet-bulb temperature and dew-point temperature have closer cross-correlativity. Next, the responses of these variables to precipitation of different intensities were investigated and some precursory information of precipitation contained in these variables was revealed. The lead times of using ZTD and PWV to detect heavy precipitation are about 8 h. Finally, by using the principal component analysis, it is shown that heavy precipitation can be effectively detected using these variables, among which, ZTD, PWV and cloud coverage play more prominent roles. The research findings can not only increase the utilization and uptake of atmospheric variables in the detection of precipitation, but also provide clues in the development of more robust precipitation forecasting models.