HAPC Model of Crowd Behavior during Crises-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

HAPC Model of Crowd Behavior during Crises

Published:2023-06-15 Issue:12 Volume:11 Page:2711
ISSN:2227-7390
Container-title:Mathematics
language:en
Short-container-title:Mathematics

Author:

Pompa Marcello¹²^ORCID,Cerasa Antonio³⁴⁵,Panunzi Simona¹^ORCID,De Gaetano Andrea¹³⁶^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Systems Analysis and Informatics “A. Ruberti” (IASI)—National Research Council of Italy, Via dei Taurini 19, 00185 Rome, Italy

2. Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore di Roma, Largo Francesco Vito 1, 00168 Rome, Italy

3. Institute for Biomedical Research and Innovation (IRIB), National Research Council of Italy (CNR), Via Ugo La Malfa 153, 90146 Palermo, Italy

4. S’Anna Institute, Via Siris 11, 88900 Crotone, Italy

5. Pharmacotechnology Documentation and Transfer Unit, Preclinical and Translational Pharmacology, Department of Pharmacy, Health Science and Nutrition, University of Calabria, Via Pietro Bucci, 87036 Rende, Italy

6. Department of Biomatics, Óbuda University, Bécsi út 96/B, 1034 Budapest, Hungary

Abstract

The dynamics of pedestrian crowds during exceptional tragic events are very complex depending on a series of human behaviors resulting from combinations of basic interaction principles and self-organization. The Alert–Panic–Control (APC) model is one of the mathematical models in the literature for representing such complicated processes, mainly focusing on psychologists’ points of view (i.e., emotion contagion). This work proposes a Hybrid APC (HAPC) model including new processes, such as the effect of resonance, the victims caused by people in state of panic, new interactions between populations based on imitation and emotional contagion phenomena and the ability to simulate multiple disaster situations. Results from simulated scenarios showed that in the first 5 min 54.45% of population move towards a state of alert, 13.82% enter the control state and 31.73% pass to the state of panic, highlighting that individuals respond to a terrible incident very quickly, right away after it occurs.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

General Mathematics,Engineering (miscellaneous),Computer Science (miscellaneous)

Link

https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/12/2711/pdf

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