Balance of Anthropogenic and Natural Greenhouse Gas Fluxes of All Inland Ecosystems of the Russian Federation and the Contribution of Sequestration in Forests

Abstract

In order to achieve global climate goals, it is necessary to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes from ecosystems. To obtain a comprehensive assessment of CO2, CH4, and N2O natural fluxes for the Russian Federation, we used the “bottom-up” method and updated estimates for forest ecosystems based on State Forest Inventory data and satellite monitoring of forest disturbances. For grassland ecosystems, it was based on the correct distribution of areas between steppe and non-steppe zones. The estimated net uptake of natural ecosystems in Russia was 1.1 ± 1.8 billion tons of CO2-eq./year. The study shows that if only CO2 is taken into account, the net absorption of terrestrial ecosystems in Russia corresponds to more than −2.5 billion tons of CO2 (35% of forests’ contribution). However, given the emissions of non-CO2 GHGs, total net absorption in Russia’s natural ecosystems is reduced to about −1 billion tons of CO2-eq (with the forests’ contribution increasing to 80%). With regard to anthropogenic fluxes, the overall balance of GHGs in Russia corresponds to net emissions of 1 billion tons of CO2-eq/year into the atmosphere. To improve reporting under the Paris Agreement, countries should aim to include only anthropogenic (“manageable”) GHG fluxes on managed land.