Author:
Bozikas Apostolos,Pitselis Georgios
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a credible regression approach with random coefficients to model and forecast the mortality dynamics of a given population with limited data. Age-specific mortality rates are modelled and extrapolation methods are utilized to estimate future mortality rates. The results on Greek mortality data indicate that credibility regression contributed to more accurate forecasts than those produced from the Lee–Carter and Cairns–Blake–Dowd models. An application on pricing insurance-related products is also provided.
Subject
Strategy and Management,Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),Accounting
Cited by
4 articles.
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