Rapid Visual Screening Feature Importance for Seismic Vulnerability Ranking via Machine Learning and SHAP Values

Author:

Karampinis Ioannis1ORCID,Iliadis Lazaros1ORCID,Karabinis Athanasios2

Affiliation:

1. Lab of Mathematics and Informatics (ISCE), Department of Civil Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, 67100 Xanthi, Greece

2. Lab of Reinforced Concrete and Seismic Design, Department of Civil Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, 67100 Xanthi, Greece

Abstract

Structures inevitably suffer damage after an earthquake, with severity ranging from minimal damage of nonstructural elements to partial or even total collapse, possibly with loss of human lives. Thus, it is essential for engineers to understand the crucial factors that drive a structure towards suffering higher degrees of damage in order for preventative measures to be taken. In the present study, we focus on three well-known damage thresholds: the Collapse Limit State, Ultimate Limit State, and Serviceability Limit State. We analyze the features obtained via Rapid Visual Screening to determine whether or not a given structure crosses these thresholds. To this end, we use machine learning to perform binary classification for each damage threshold, and use explainability to quantify the effect of each parameter via SHAP values (SHapley Additive exPlanations). The quantitative results that we obtain demonstrate the potential applicability of ML methods for recalibrating the computation of structural vulnerability indices using data from recent earthquakes.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference50 articles.

1. Palermo, V., Tsionis, G., and Sousa, M.L. (2018). Building Stock Inventory to Assess Seismic Vulnerability Across Europe, Publications Office of the European Union.

2. Federal Emergency Management Agency (US) (2017). Rapid Visual Screening of Buildings for Potential Seismic Hazards: A Handbook, Government Printing Office.

3. (2024, January 03). Greek Code for Seismic Resistant Structures–EAK, Available online: https://iisee.kenken.go.jp/worldlist/23_Greece/23_Greece_Code.pdf.

4. Lizundia, B., Durphy, S., Griffin, M., Holmes, W., Hortacsu, A., Kehoe, B., Porter, K., and Welliver, B. (2015). Improving the Seismic Performance of Existing Buildings and Other Structures, American Society of Civil Engineers.

5. Vulpe, A., Carausu, A., and Vulpe, G.E. (2001, January 12–17). Earthquake induced damage quantification and damage state evaluation by fragility and vulnerability models. Proceedings of the SMiRT 16, Washington, DC, USA.

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