Risk-Based Fault Detection Using Bayesian Networks Based on Failure Mode and Effect Analysis

Abstract

In this article, the authors focus on the introduction of a hybrid method for risk-based fault detection (FD) using dynamic principal component analysis (DPCA) and failure method and effect analysis (FMEA) based Bayesian networks (BNs). The FD problem has garnered great interest in industrial application, yet methods for integrating process risk into the detection procedure are still scarce. It is, however, critical to assess the risk each possible process fault holds to differentiate between non-safety-critical and safety-critical abnormalities and thus minimize alarm rates. The proposed method utilizes a BN established through FMEA analysis of the supervised process and the results of dynamical principal component analysis to estimate a modified risk priority number (RPN) of different process states. The RPN is used parallel to the FD procedure, incorporating the results of both to differentiate between process abnormalities and highlight critical issues. The method is showcased using an industrial benchmark problem as well as the model of a reactor utilized in the emerging liquid organic hydrogen carrier (LOHC) technology.