Rapid Earthquake Damage Assessment System in the Black Sea Basin: Selection/Adoption of Ground Motion Prediction Equations with Emphasis in the Cross-Border Areas

Author:

Theodoulidis Nikolaos1,Margaris Basil1,Sotiriadis Dimitris2ORCID,Zulfikar Can3,Okuyan Akcan Seyhan4ORCID,Cioflan Carmen Ortanza56ORCID,Manea Elena Florinela56,Toma-Danila Dragos56ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, 55535 Thessaloniki, Greece

2. Department of Civil Engineering, Democritus University, 67100 Xanthi, Greece

3. Disaster Management Institute, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul 34469, Turkey

4. Civil Engineering Department, Bogazici University, Istanbul 34342, Turkey

5. National Institute for Earth Physics, 077125 Magurele, Romania

6. Civil Engineering Department, Ovidius University, 900527 Constanța, Romania

Abstract

In the present study, an effort to propose and adopt appropriate Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) for the Rapid Earthquake Damage Assessment System (REDAS) in the Black Sea basin is attempted. Emphasis of GMPE harmonization in the cross-border areas (CBA) is given. For this reason, two distinct sub-areas are investigated, taking into consideration their seismotectonic regime. One sub-area refers to active shallow crustal earthquakes (Greece-Turkey, CBA) and the other to intermediate-depth and shallow crustal earthquakes (Romania-Moldova, Western Black Sea CBA). Testing and ranking of pre-selected GMPEs has been performed using strong motion data of the broader CBA regions of both sub-areas. The final proposed GMPEs to feed the REDA System may assure the effective estimation of ShakeMaps and—in combination with the appropriate vulnerability curves—reliable near-real-time damage assessment in the cross-border earthquake affected areas.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference48 articles.

1. Papatheodorou, K., Theodoulidis, N., Klimis, N., Zulfikar, C., Vintila, D., Cardanet, V., Kirtas, E., Toma-Danila, D., Margaris, B., and Fahjan, Y. (2023). Rapid Earthquake Damage Assessment and Education to Improve Earthquake Response Efficiency and Community Resilience. Sustainability, 15.

2. Douglas, J. (2024, February 28). Ground Motion Prediction Equations 1964–2020. Available online: http://www.gmpe.org.uk.

3. Toward a ground-motion logic tree for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Europe;Delavaud;J. Seismol.,2012

4. The 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model: Key components and results;Woessner;Bull. Earthq. Eng.,2015

5. (2024, February 28). REDACt Project. Ground Motion Prediction Equations and Seismic Sources Selection & Evaluation in the REDAS Pilot Investigation Areas Deliverable No: D.T3.1.1; REDACt Project Deliverable, 2021; 50p. Available online: https://app.box.com/file/926220681808.

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