More Urban Elderly Care Facilities Should Be Placed in Densely Populated Areas for an Aging Wuhan of China

Abstract

Global aging is getting worse, especially in China, a country with a large population. It is urgently needed to plan the site of new urban elderly care facilities for an aging society. Based on point of interest data and machine learning algorithms, we established a site selection model of urban elderly care facilities for Wuhan in China and selected potential optimal sites for new urban elderly care facilities. We found that 2059 of the 31,390 grids with a resolution of 500 m × 500 m of Wuhan are priority layout grids for new urban elderly care facilities. A total of 635 priority grids were further selected based on the agglomeration degree of the aging population in each street. They are mainly distributed in the areas with a concentrated aging population within the Second Ring Road around the urban centers. Additionally, some outer suburban streets with a relatively high aging degree also require immediate facility construction. The point of interest data and machine learning algorithms to select the location of urban elderly care facilities can optimize their overall configuration and avoid the subjectivity of site selection to some degree, provide empirical support for how to achieve a good configuration of “population–facilities” in space, and continuously improve the science of the spatial allocation of elderly care facilities.