Management Policy of Farmers’ Cultivated Land Abandonment Behavior Based on Evolutionary Game and Simulation Analysis

Abstract

Agricultural land abandonment is a complex, multidimensional, and nonlinear global phenomenon driven by multiple factors and has contrasting impacts on agrobiodiversity, the environment, and society. Appropriate management strategies on abandoned cultivated land are helpful in maintaining food and ecological security. However, there are few studies on the management of cultivated land abandonment from the perspective of stakeholders. Based on the stakeholder perspective and focusing on the two main modes of farmland abandonment management, namely, “transfer-oriented management” and “condition-improved management”, this study constructs two evolutionary game models to analyze the interest conflicts, decision-making behaviors and interest game foci of different subjects in the two management modes. Simulation analysis is conducted to verify the equilibrium results of the evolutionary game to find the key problems in abandonment management and put forward corresponding management policies. This study reveals the internal mechanism of abandonment management, thus providing a theoretical basis for the classified management of abandoned cultivated land.