Risk Stratification of Cholangiocarcinoma Patients Presenting with Jaundice: A Retrospective Analysis from a Tertiary Referral Center

Abstract

Cholangiocarcinomas (CCAs) are a heterogeneous group of tumors that arise from the biliary tract. Jaundice is a common clinical presentation; however, the prognostic impact of this symptom is poorly understood, and current management recommendations lack solid evidence. We aim to assess the clinical outcomes and predictive factors of CCA patients presenting with jaundice in the Emergency Room (ER). We retrospectively analyzed all consecutive ER cases presenting with jaundice between January 2010 and December 2017. During the study period, 403,766 patients were admitted to the ER, 1217 (0.3%) presented with jaundice, and in 200 (0.049%), the diagnosis was CCA. CCA cases increased during the study period (p for trend 0.026). Most of them presented with advance disease (stage III 46.5%, stage IV 43.5%) and median survival was 4.5 months (95% CI 3.4–6.0). Factors associated with better survival were age, stage of disease, presence of jaundice at the moment of diagnosis, and lack of concomitant viral hepatitis. A nomogram was constructed that significantly predicts 1-month, 6-month, and 1-year survival after patients’ admission. In conclusion, the majority of CCA patients presenting with jaundice to the ER have advanced disease and poor prognosis. Risk stratification of these patients can allow tailored management.