Prediction of the Molecular Subtype of IDH Mutation Combined with MGMT Promoter Methylation in Gliomas via Radiomics Based on Preoperative MRI

Abstract

Background: The molecular subtype of IDH mut combined with MGMT meth in gliomas suggests a good prognosis and potential benefit from TMZ chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to establish a radiomics model to predict this molecular subtype. Method: The preoperative MR images and genetic data of 498 patients with gliomas were retrospectively collected from our institution and the TCGA/TCIA dataset. A total of 1702 radiomics features were extracted from the tumour region of interest (ROI) of CE-T1 and T2-FLAIR MR images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression were used for feature selection and model building. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model. Results: Regarding clinical variables, age and tumour grade were significantly different between the two molecular subtypes in the training, test and independent validation cohorts (p < 0.05). The areas under the curve (AUCs) of the radiomics model based on 16 selected features in the SMOTE training cohort, un-SMOTE training cohort, test set and independent TCGA/TCIA validation cohort were 0.936, 0.932, 0.916 and 0.866, respectively, and the corresponding F1-scores were 0.860, 0.797, 0.880 and 0.802. The AUC of the independent validation cohort increased to 0.930 for the combined model when integrating the clinical risk factors and radiomics signature. Conclusions: radiomics based on preoperative MRI can effectively predict the molecular subtype of IDH mut combined with MGMT meth.