Potential of Immunotherapies in Treating Hematological Cancer-Infection Comorbidities—A Mathematical Modelling Approach

Abstract

Background: The immune system attacks threats like an emerging cancer or infections like COVID-19 but it also plays a role in dealing with autoimmune disease, e.g., inflammatory bowel diseases, and aging. Malignant cells may tend to be eradicated, to appraoch a dormant state or escape the immune system resulting in uncontrolled growth leading to cancer progression. If the immune system is busy fighting a cancer, a severe infection on top of it may compromise the immunoediting and the comorbidity may be too taxing for the immune system to control. Method: A novel mechanism based computational model coupling a cancer-infection development to the adaptive immune system is presented and analyzed. The model maps the outcome to the underlying physiological mechanisms and agree with numerous evidence based medical observations. Results and Conclusions: Progression of a cancer and the effect of treatments depend on the cancer size, the level of infection, and on the efficiency of the adaptive immune system. The model exhibits bi-stability, i.e., virtual patient trajectories gravitate towards one of two stable steady states: a dormant state or a full-blown cancer-infection disease state. An infectious threshold curve exists and if infection exceed this separatrix for sufficiently long time the cancer escapes. Thus, early treatment is vital for remission and severe infections may instigate cancer progression. CAR T-cell Immunotherapy may sufficiently control cancer progression back into a dormant state but the therapy significantly gains efficiency in combination with antibiotics or immunomodulation.