Spillway Capacity Estimation Using Flood Peak Analysis and Probable Maximum Flood Method

Abstract

This study aims to assess a spillway’s capacity to manage the highest possible fluctuations in water levels, the probable maximum flood (PMF). The PMF values have experienced alterations throughout the last six decades since the initial design and construction of the Kaeng Krachan Dam, one of Thailand’s major dams. The study also conducted an assessment of the greatest levels of rainfall for different timeframes, known as probable maximum precipitation (PMP). This was achieved by simulating the movement of rainstorms into the reservoir area near the dam. Afterwards, a thorough examination was carried out on several time periods related to anticipated flood volumes, PMF, and the spillway’s capability. The research entailed a comprehensive analysis of rainfall occurrences spanning 65 years, encompassing a total of 190 storm events, to present the top 10 highest recorded levels of rainfall in the southern and western regions of Thailand. This information is of utmost significance in assessing the potential maximum rainfall in the study area. The results reveal that the highest PMP observed over a three-day period was 429.20–726.40 mm, which is slightly different from the results obtained using storm transposition method (513.90–869.76 mm). Results of PMF and base flow were 4677.00 and 86.80 cms, respectively. The results of the examination of the estimated maximum flood volumes and their comparison with previous studies show that the maximum flow rates per unit area are within reasonable and consistent boundaries. The current spillway has the capability to manage flood flows with a frequency of up to 10,000 years. Nevertheless, while examining the potential PMF, it has been concluded that the existing spillway’s capacity is insufficient to adequately handle the highest water level in the reservoir, therefore preventing it from exceeding the designated maximum water level.