Water System Safety Analysis Model

Abstract

The operation of a water supply system (WSS) is inextricably linked with the possibility of different types of failure. It is very common for these failures to be random in nature. The results of reliability studies carried out in many water supply systems revealed, for example, the possibility of incidental water pollution, power supply issues, failure in machinery, damage to water plants, or natural disasters. As a result of the WSS failure, we deal with a state of threat to safety (TSS) or a state of loss of safety (LSS). Using Markov processes, we developed a failure model of the WSS to determine the possibility that the system may find itself in different states of safety. As a result, a mathematical model using Markov processes has been proposed for each of these distinct states of safety (complete safety state—CSS; threat to safety state—TSS; and loss of safety state—LSS). The proposed approach in the water supply system will limit emergency states by optimizing working and repair times. Reducing losses in the water supply system is crucial to reduce and optimize energy consumption for water production and distribution.