Detecting Mountain Forest Dynamics in the Eastern Himalayas

Abstract

Forest dynamics is critical to forested ecosystems, and considerable efforts have been devoted to monitoring long-term forest dynamics with the goals of sustainable management and conservation of forests. However, little attention has been given to mountain forests, which are more challenging to monitor due to complex topography, weather, and their distribution. We developed a 30-m resolution tree-canopy cover (TCC) and forest change dataset for the Eastern Himalayas from 1986 to 2021. The tree-canopy cover estimation was validated against estimates from the space-borne Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI), demonstrating strong consistency (R-square greater than 0.81). A comprehensive assessment for the forest change dataset was performed using 448 visually interpreted points and reported high accuracy of the dataset, i.e., 97.7% and 95.9% for forest loss and gain, respectively. Higher producer and user accuracies were reported for forest loss (PA = 78.0%, UA = 60.9%) than these for forest gain (PA = 61.7%, UA = 56.7%). The results indicated that (1) the mean tree-canopy cover in the region increased by 2.76% over the past three decades, from 40.67% in 1990 to 43.43% in 2020, suggesting the forests have improved during the period; (2) forest loss was identified for a total area of 6990 km2 across the study area, which is less than the 10,700 km2 identified as forest gain; (3) stronger forest gains were found at elevations greater than 3000 m asl, indicating faster forest growth in high elevations likely influenced by the warming temperatures in the Eastern Himalayas.