Triglyceride–Glucose Index May Predict Renal Survival in Patients with IgA Nephropathy

Abstract

Background: The triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index is a simple, novel and reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance. However, evidence for the prognostic impact of an elevated TyG index on IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is limited. Therefore, we evaluated the relationship between the TyG index and the risk of renal progression in IgAN. Method: This cohort study involved biopsy-proven IgAN between January 2009 and December 2018 in West China Hospital, in which patients were assigned to two groups based on the cut-off value of TyG using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A 1:1 matched-pair analysis was established to optimize the bias in IgAN by propensity score matching (PSM). The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The composite endpoint was defined by eGFR decreased ≥50% of the baseline level, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), renal transplantation and/or death. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were applied to confirm the predictive value of the optimal marker. Results: Before PSM, a total of 1210 participants were ultimately included. During a median follow-up period of 55.8 months (range 37.20–79.09 months), 129 participants progressed to the composite endpoint (10.7%). After PSM, 366 patients were enrolled in the matched cohort, of whom 34 (9.3%) patients reached the endpoints. Based on the cut-off value of the TyG index, patients were divided into the low TyG index group (TyG ≤ 8.72, n = 690) and the high TyG index group (TyG > 8.72, n = 520). Further analysis demonstrated that a higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of reaching composite endpoints in IgAN patients in both the unmatched and matched cohorts (before PSM: HR 2.509, 95% CI 1.396–4.511, p = 0.002; after PSM: HR 2.654, 95% CI 1.299–5.423, p = 0.007). Conclusion: A high TyG index is associated with a higher risk of renal progression.