Multi-Station Hydrological Modelling to Assess Groundwater Recharge of a Vast Semi-Arid Basin Considering the Problem of Lack of Data: A Case Study in Seybouse Basin, Algeria

Abstract

Water resource management scenarios have become more crucial for arid to semi-arid regions. Their application prerequisites rigorous hydrological modelling approaches since data are usually exposed to uncertainties and inaccuracies. In this work, Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), an open source semi-distributed, continuous-time, process-based physical hydrological model is used to model hydrological processes and eventually calculate groundwater recharge estimations in Seybouse basin, Northeast Algeria. The model uses estimated rainfall to calibrate the model with observed discharge from hydrometric stations. Model calibration and validation are performed over four hydrometric stations located in the basin. Uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis supported the calibration period. SUFI-2 algorithm is used for uncertainty estimations along with a global sensitivity analysis prior to calibration simulations. Simulated flood hydrographs showed generally good accuracy with few misfits on the peaks. The model obtained satisfactory and consistent calibration and validation results for which the Nash score varied from 0.5 to 0.7 for calibration and from −0.1 to 0.6 for validation and R2 from 0.6 to 0.7 for calibration and 0.03 to 0.8 for validation. Moreover, estimated water budget values show strong similarities with the observed values found in the literature. The present work shows that the rigorously calibrated and validated SWAT model can simulate hydrological processes as well as major high and low flows using estimated rainfall data.