A 3D Numerical Model to Estimate Lightning Types for PyroCb Thundercloud

Abstract

Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) thunderclouds, produced from extreme bushfires, can initiate frequent cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning strikes containing extended continuing currents. This, in turn, can ignite new spot fires and inflict massive harm on the environment and infrastructures. This study presents a 3D numerical thundercloud model for estimating the lightning of different types and its striking zone for the conceptual tripole thundercloud structure which is theorized to produce the lightning phenomenon in pyroCb storms. More emphasis is given to the lower positive charge layer, and the impacts of strong wind shear are also explored to thoroughly examine various electrical parameters including the longitudinal electric field, electric potential, and surface charge density. The simulation outcomes on pyroCb thunderclouds with a tripole structure confirm the presence of negative longitudinal electric field initiation at the cloud’s lower region. This initiation is accompanied by enhancing the lower positive charge region, resulting in an overall positive electric potential increase. Consequently, negative surface charge density appears underneath the pyroCb thundercloud which has the potential to induce positive (+CG) lightning flashes. With wind shear extension of upper charge layers in pyroCb, the lightning initiation potential becomes negative to reduce the absolute field value and would generate negative (−CG) lightning flashes. A subsequent parametric study is carried out considering a positive correlation between aerosol concentration and charge density to investigate the sensitivity of pyroCb electrification under the influence of high aerosol conditions. The suggested model would establish the basis for identifying the potential area impacted by lightning and could also be expanded to analyze the dangerous conditions that may arise in wind energy farms or power substations in times of severe pyroCb events.