Left-Turn Lane Capacity Estimation based on the Vehicle Yielding Maneuver Model to Pedestrians at Signalized Intersections

Abstract

Crossing pedestrians may significantly affect the capacity of the left-turn (LT) lane at signalized intersections while sharing the same signal phase in the left-hand traffic system, the quantitative estimation method is still not intensively discussed when considering the vehicle yielding maneuver. Despite the Road Traffic Act in Japan mandating vehicles to yield to pedestrians, instances of vehicles crossing in front of pedestrians are frequent. This study aims to refine the evaluation of LT lane capacity by introducing a novel vehicle yielding maneuver model, considering factors such as pedestrian numbers, crosswalk length, and signal timing. The model, developed using data from various Japanese crosswalks, is subjected to Monte Carlo simulation for validation. Comparative analysis with existing methods in Japanese and U.S. manuals, along with observed data, highlights the effectiveness of our model. This innovative approach has the potential to mitigate vehicle–pedestrian conflicts and reduce air pollution. By incorporating techniques such as signal optimization and two-stage crossing, our model contributes to sustainability while maintaining efficient traffic flow.