Characterization of Micro-seismic Activity in Northern Cyprus Using Complexity and Corner Frequency Methods

Abstract

Cyprus is an island country located in the eastern Mediterranean, to the south of Türkiye and the western of Syria and Lebanon, and is a popular tourist destination. Due to being surrounded by seas on all four sides, meticulous planning of rescue, assistance, and evacuation plans is necessary in the face of disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis. Tectonically, the southern part of the island is controlled by the Cyprus Arc, while the northern part is dominated by the Kyrenia Range. The demand for raw materials for construction and industry is met through controlled quarry blasting operations carried out by open-pit quarry companies in the districts of Kyrenia and Nicosia. As a result, both natural and artificial seismic events occur in the region, and these quakes are documented in seismic catalogs by seismology centers. However, due to the low energy content of micro-seismic events and the inadequacy of seismic stations on the island, the source types of these seismic events can be misidentified in the catalogs. In this context, the study focuses on 122 seismic events with magnitudes between 0.9≤Ml≤2.7 that occurred in Northern Cyprus during the January 2018 - December 2021 period (4 years). The seismic events recorded by the station LFK, operated by Boğaziçi University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute Regional Earthquake-Tsunami Monitoring Center (KOERI-RETMC), were classified using Linear and Quadratic Discriminant Functions based on complexity and corner frequency methods. According to the results obtained, 10 of the 122 seismic events were identified as natural, and 96 were determined to be artificial, resulting in a general success rate of 86.89%. However, classification results for 16 seismic events were inconclusive with the methods used. As a result, more detailed secondary analyses should be conducted to accurately determine the source types of micro-seismic events, and the seismic catalogs should be updated accordingly.