Climate risk, soft information and credit supply

Author:

Álvarez-Román Laura1,Mayordomo Sergio1,Vergara-Alert Carles2,Vives Xavier2

Affiliation:

1. Banco de España

2. IESE Business School

Abstract

We study a model of the impact of climate risk on credit supply and test its predictions using data on all wildfires and corporate loans in Spain. Our findings reveal a significant decrease in credit following climate-driven events. This result is driven by outsider banks (large and diversified), which reduce lending significantly to firms in affected areas. By contrast, due to their access to soft information, local banks (geographically concentrated) reduce their loans to opaque affected firms to a lesser extent without increasing their risk. We also find that employment decreases in affected areas where local banks are not present.

Publisher

Banco de España

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